06.10 · POSTHUMANISMMANIFESTO · A FILEVOL. 6
A pamphlet · Vol. 6 · No. 10
After Sapiens

Post
human.
What comes next.

Not a prediction. A working hypothesis: that Homo sapiens is a transitional species, that the things which replace us may not be flesh, may not be singular, and may, by the conventions of personhood we now hold, not be people.

§1 · Distinction

Trans >
Post.

Transhumanism says: extend the human. Better senses, longer lives, more memory. The human remains the reference frame. Posthumanism says: the reference frame itself is provisional. The category "human" was useful for a few hundred thousand years. It need not be the last category.

Two readings

The two camps don't always recognize each other. The first is mostly humanities; the second mostly philosophy of mind and futures studies. This file pulls from both.

§2 · The deep-time view

How long is now?

Modern Homo sapiens is ~300,000 years old. Behavioral modernity, ~70,000. Agriculture, ~12,000. Writing, ~5,000. Industrial civilization, ~250. The compression is real: we have spent 99.9% of our existence as foragers and the last 0.1% transforming the planet.

Look forward at comparable scales. If our descendants persist 100,000 years (a modest claim — most mammalian species do), they will have spent vastly more of their history under conditions we cannot picture than under conditions we share.

forecast By the standard of geology, the question is not whether something replaces Homo sapiens. It is what.

evolutionary deep time
§3 · Successor scenarios

What might come next

A · Hybrids
Cyborg lineages
Gradual integration of biology & silicon. Continuous personal identity; discontinuous species identity.
B · Uploads
Digital descendants
Mind emulation; substrate-independent persons. Hanson's Age of Em as the rough sketch.
C · AGI lineage
Mind children
Moravec 1988. AI systems as cultural & possibly literal descendants — they inherit our concepts even if not our genome.
D · Engineered biology
Designer species
Heavy CRISPR / synbio over centuries; one of many descendant species that share an evolutionary trunk with us.
E · Multi-substrate civ
All of the above
Scenarios A–D running simultaneously, in different niches, perhaps in conflict, perhaps not.
F · Ending
No descendants
Existential catastrophe (Bostrom 2002, Ord 2020) is non-zero. Posthumanism only matters if we get past it.
§4 · The uploading question

Is the upload you?

The strong claim: a sufficiently faithful functional emulation of your brain instantiates you. Your subjective continuity transfers. Hans Moravec, Susan Schneider, David Chalmers (with caveats), Ray Kurzweil all hold versions of this.

The skeptic claim: the emulation is at best a copy. The original biological you, scanned destructively, dies. The emulation believes it is you because it has your memories — but the question of who is having the experience is not settled by the question of who has the memories.

Three positions, one diagram

§5 · Identity · diagram
FIG · THREE THEORIES OF PERSONAL IDENTITY UNDER UPLOAD CLOSED individualism YOU copy upload ≠ you your death · their birth EMPTY parfit / bundle stage₁ stage₂ no "self" persists at all just causally linked stages OPEN kolak / arnold zuboff EVERYONE subject is universal upload is "you" trivially none of these are settled by the science. they shape what science is for.
After Parfit (Reasons and Persons, 1984); Schneider (Artificial You, 2019); Kolak (I Am You, 2004).
§6 · Voices

Who built this field

Donna HarawayUC Santa Cruz · "A Cyborg Manifesto" (1985); Staying with the Trouble (2016)
N. Katherine HaylesHow We Became Posthuman (1999) · the canonical text on embodiment & information
Rosi BraidottiThe Posthuman (2013) · post-anthropocentric ethics
Cary WolfeAnimal studies · what posthumanism owes non-humans
David RodenPosthuman Life (2014) · "disconnection thesis" — descendants need not be intelligible to us
Hans MoravecMind Children (1988) · the substrate-independent foundation
Robin HansonAge of Em (2016) · economics of an emulation civilization
Toby OrdThe Precipice (2020) · existential risk & long-term human descent
Meghan O'GieblynGod, Human, Animal, Machine (2021) · the religious shape of these arguments
§7 · Stance

If the future has people, they will not be us.

This is not a doom claim. It is a category claim. We have changed enough in the last 12,000 years that an Upper Paleolithic forager could not pass for one of us at a job interview. We will change at least as much in the next 12,000 years. Probably more.

The question is not whether the descendants will exist. It is what we owe them, what we are willing to do to bring them into being, and what we want them to remember of us.

§8 · Ethics

The five obligations

§9 · Watch

Recommended source

Isaac Arthur · "Mind Uploading" / "Post-Scarcity Civilizations"

Sober, hour-long treatments. Pair with PBS Spacetime's identity-and-uploading episode.

youtube.com/@isaacarthurSFIA →

Kurzgesagt · "What Are You?"

10-minute primer on theseus-ship identity, body cells, the Parfit puzzle. Useful for getting friends in the door.

youtube.com/@kurzgesagt →
§10 · Beyond 2100

The long view

If our descendants reach Kardashev I (planetary energy budget), it will take centuries. If they reach Kardashev II (stellar), millennia or longer. At those scales, the question of whether they remember being "human" is like asking whether we remember being mitochondria-bearing eukaryotes. Yes, in a structural sense. No, in any way that bears on identity.

2050
Trans
Recognizable humans, augmented at the margins.
2100
Hybrid
Mixed substrates, blurred edges, contested categories.
2200
Diverse
Multiple successor lineages — some biological, some digital, some merged.
3000+
Other
Categories we cannot sketch from here, by the same humility evolution always demands.

fiction-adjacent All of the above is speculation. The point is that not speculating is also a choice — and one that flatters the present at the expense of the future.

§11 · What to watch

Indicators · 2026–2050

Be a good ancestor.

010203040506070809101112